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2016.4.20大盤分析(專業版試閱)

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發表於 2016-4-22 10:38:54 | 顯示全部樓層 |閱讀模式
加權指數:8514.48點  -119.24點  成交量956.41E
上櫃指數:127.43點  -1.15點  成交量247.31E


大盤分析:
今天加權指數大跌119.24點,上週五老師舉辦了一場投資人聚會,會中老師告訴大家不要看外資在台指期有高達4、5萬口的多單
因為法人可以藉由期貨多單造成散戶誤判,進而這大盤可以在未來要往上挑戰8871點之前先向下殺盤來清洗籌碼
法人近1~2年來非常喜愛反市場操作,藉由散戶所知道的判斷方式來做相反的操作
不過回頭來看看今天法人的動作,外資僅在集中市場賣超了10.13E、OTC甚至是買超6.58E
反而是先前一週以來內資法人都趁指數回檔時逢低承接,但觀看今天內資成為外資下殺清洗的對象之一
而今天台指期平倉,外資僅賣超69口,期貨淨多單仍留倉了40572口
倘若外資未來並沒有積極減碼多單,那大盤指數回檔的空間並不會太大
尤其是外資是從全世界的角度來看台灣,在亞洲股市中包含韓國、日本都仍維持強勢
而台幣兌美元走勢今天仍持續升值3.2分再創下近3個月的最高點
代表外資不但未因為大盤今日的大跌而撤出台灣反而是持續匯入
整個亞洲貨幣也是呈現升值的趨勢並未改變
因此投資朋友們要把握趁大盤每一次不理性下殺時擇低買進好股票


個股分析:
3月營收已全部公告,全上市櫃所公告的數據遠好於老師及法人的預估
顯示許多業績好的個股目前多數的股價是被低估的
而被低估的股票再遇到主力、法人刻意摜壓之下的超額投資價值就出現了
3月營收創歷史新高個股、股價又處相對低檔容易成為法人注意焦點
EX:3163波若威、5425台半
3月營收創歷史新高、股價近期有出現修正也是法人會注意的焦點
EX:3289宜特、3450聯鈞


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