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台股分析2015.8.27~人棄我取,最高境界!

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今天台股繼續上漲108.96點,成交量1092.96E,大盤經過了連續三天的上漲之後,投資朋友們開始慢慢回神過來了,我們常說千金難買早知道,很多人都會說早知道台股會大跌2800點我股票就賣光光,早知道指數8/24的7203就是最低點我早就買股票,什麼都是早知道但多數人卻永遠都不知道,所以這就是我們部落格存在的意義了對吧?筆者總在風險來臨時不斷提醒大家,也總在全市場恐慌時請大家要勇敢危機入市,相信這都是所有投資朋友們親眼見證的,我們的部落格每天的分析文從來不刪任何一篇,也從不會改過任何說法,所以永遠都可以讓投資朋友們親眼去驗證我們的準確度有多高不是嗎?

筆者常說我們不是神不會永遠都對,但筆者要求我們盡可能地做到至少8、90%是對的,大家都知道筆者說話比較直白,這波的大跌最後的幾天是超出筆者、也超出法人、主力所想的,我們沒有預測到人民幣會突然大貶導致台股的信心雪上加霜,所以從跌到7800點開始是我們本來認為台股會止跌的位置點了,雖說最後急跌了2天,但這未嘗也不是件好事,因為可以讓很多股票可以買的更便宜不是嗎?但投資朋友們反過來想,我們再低點快出現時開始每天危機入市,不管怎麼買至少我們都買在波段的相對低檔的位置,未來只要有波段行情,在相對低檔買進的股票就幾乎可以說是立於不敗之地不是嗎?筆者常常想不透,每個人都知道恐慌的時候往往都是低點,但偏偏一次又一次的恐慌來臨時,投資朋友們永遠都是在賣股票,除非投資人是因為融資被強迫斷頭筆者沒話說之外,若大家並非這原因真的應該好好思考自己的投資是否永遠都是靠心情在決定你的買賣,而非用客觀的評估去決定買賣,不過很高興的,筆者在前幾天問了幾位投資朋友,這些都是筆者電子書的學員、也都是時常來上我們小學堂課程的學員,聽到這幾位都跟筆者一樣選擇危機入市,筆者聽了真的太感動了,無論有些人買了稍微早點或是比較晚點都沒關係,因為那只是差在你未來賺多賺少的問題而已,重要的是投資者的觀念與執行力是否正確才是最重要的不嗎?做對的事即便你最後賺得稍微少一點、甚至你被套到都只是運氣稍微差了點而已,但只要投資者觀念是對的也確實執行,時間拉長你一定是穩賺不賠的,應該有不少投資朋友們都聽筆者說過,買股票不可能每次都穩賺不賠,因為我們都是人不是神,但筆者相信一但把時間拉長成3個月、半年、一年來看,的確是可以練習到穩賺不賠的。

大盤、股票跌深了,一開始都很容易由權值股、跌深股領軍大漲,漲權值的原因當然是跟國家隊為了護指數有關,而漲跌深股是因為很多跌很深的股票市跌的不明不白,或是因為它可能是產業的未來性很好但目前並不賺錢,而台股畢竟成交量頂多就是一千多億,所以投資人一定要知道以這樣的成交量主力、法人每天能拉抬的股票就很有限,所以即便指數大漲,但多數個股可能都是漲個一天然後休息一、兩天,休息往往是為了能走更長遠的路,但它的前提是這股票的產業未來是有成長性的,買股票不是買現在財報看起來很漂亮的股票,若是如此筆者怎會在去年3474華亞科還在大賺時、股價還在5X時告訴大家這股票沒救了,因為若是投資人以基本分析來看,這股票當時本益比可能只有6-7倍,比大盤平均18倍的本益比被低估太多了,結果大家可以看看它今年的獲利跟股價,你就會發現筆者是在跟大家談未來不是談現在,同樣的,台股經過2800點的大跌之後,筆者危機入市的佈局股當然買的也是未來有機會成長、甚至是大成長,並且大家一定要注意一件非常重要的觀念,那就是你買的股票絕對不能受到紅色供應鏈所影響,舉凡大陸強力扶植的產業、技術門檻低的產業,這些都是未來的下一檔DRAM、LCD、LED,希望大家務必把筆者說的這個觀念牢記在你腦海裡,否則宏達電、FTPK這種地雷股票,你遲早都有機會會遇到。
電子書、講座、研究報告=賺錢之道
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