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台股分析2015.8.31~8月下旬誰跟你說台股走空了?

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台股今日最後一盤急拉超過百點,收盤大漲155.74點,成交量1012.08E,還記得筆者在8/17開始一直到8/24連六買的同時,市場上好多的專家都告訴你熊市來臨了,趕緊賣光手中股票因為指數還會再繼續跌到6000、5000、4000點都有人喊,不然就是告訴你現在是熊市但大盤跌深了,等大盤一反彈趕緊賣光手中股票,但事實是這樣嗎?還記得筆者在買股票的時後還請大家未來一起幫筆者驗證對吧?值到大盤今天又連五紅了,誰真正完成掌握市場脈動相信投資朋友們都可以自己分的很清楚。

我們這一波僅僅鎖定五個族群來佈局,資金再大都不超過五檔是很多學員都知道筆者的投資風格,而我們的LINE實體操作紀律班的學員通常也都只有三檔,資金大一點的學員也僅有四檔,筆者認為這一波真的有本事大漲的就不出這五個族群,並且這五個族群走的絕對是回升走勢而非反彈走勢,為什麼筆者敢這樣說?當然是筆者每次說的幾乎都對嘛!因為我們知道主力、法人看好什麼,所以大盤若真的要漲,這五個族群豈有不漲的道理不是嗎?而看過筆者電子書的學員們,尤其是上過新書導讀(一)(二)(三)的學員們,老師衷心期盼大家的選股與股票操作能青出於藍更勝於藍,大家有空真的把電子書、新書導讀課程多看、多聽幾次,再把今年從1/1~4/28大盤上漲到10014點再從4/28日的10014點跌到8/24的7203點搭配著老師教給大家的來融會貫通並思索自己的操作那裡需要修正,相信大家如果有認真的做一趟這樣的功課學員們的投資功力必定突飛猛進才是,而老師也親自試範了全台灣唯一的整個從10014點崩跌停2800點,如何只靠作多還不作空的情形之下都能賺取不錯的獲利的完整紀錄給大家當範例,老師的操作就如同電子書所教、新書導讀所教,我們能在大盤大跌1350點時還能讓個股賺3成、賺7成,並且在出現系統危機時請大家盡量清光手中持股,要做股票就做短線就好,唯有這樣學員們才有錢也才有資格在8/17開始趁著最後一波人人喊空時我們開始連續危機入市佈局未來暴跌之後的暴利不是嗎?但絕大多數的投資人高檔沒有清股票,買的股票一路套,再最低點附近砍光股票,相行對照之下,學員們你們就會真正懂得散戶操作與主力、法人操作的不同所在處了,因為這對比太過明顯了。

大盤自8/24見最低點之後已出連五連紅,市場所有專家、媒體現在絕對分成三派,一派仍然告訴你是空頭市場,大盤反彈是因為跌太深所以彈完之後什麼月線、季線附近要開始放空,另一派則是告訴你大盤目前只是走跌深反彈,彈完之後再觀察看看是否能築出底部,第二隻腳、第三隻腳,最後一派則會告訴大家大盤這一波是中期反彈,不用預設立場因為反彈力道會很強;其實專家、媒體不管分成幾派,每一派絕對都能拿出一堆數據、圖型來輔佐他的理論,雖然永遠都要事後才能驗證誰對誰錯,但筆者常常很想反問等到每次事後證明這些人說法錯誤時,受傷的是誰?投資人都成重傷了才知道這次誰說對了、誰說錯了還來得及嗎?筆者想這問題每個投資人都會回答,但投資人不能永遠都在成為被實驗的白老鼠不是嗎?所以筆者才要費盡心力寫書、才要花這麼多時間開課,因為筆者不希望我們部落格的投資人再成為別人的白老鼠,其實往往道理都很簡單,投資股票如老師在新書導讀(三)所說複雜的事情其實是需要簡單做的,選擇學習的對象其實也是很簡單的,投資人只需要瞭解兩件事,第一是什麼樣的人常會是市場的贏家?是散戶嗎?名嘴嗎?分析師嗎?還是........???,筆者認為在台股多數成為贏家的只有下列幾種人,1、主力、2、法人、3大股東,所以投資人既然要學習你就必須跟這些人學習或者是很懂這些人的人來學習不是嗎?第二,你只需要花一段時間去驗證每次大盤的轉折點誰能『事前』先告訴你,並且經過一陣子的驗證之後這個人普遍都是對的,就這麼簡單的兩個方式就能決定投資人的學習對象不是很簡單嗎?但筆者往往覺得投資人都把簡單的事情想的複雜了,投資人如果沒有辦法把複雜的事情有條理的整理出幾個簡單的重點,那就好像在學生時代唸書一樣,每天考試這麼多,沒重點從頭唸到尾分數也考不高不是嗎?所以好的老師、補習班名師會教你如何化繁為簡來幫助大家記億、運算對吧!但幾乎所有投資人(除我們的學員之外)都是把簡單的事情複雜化了,這樣就像老師考試告訴你這次的考試可以讓你OPEN BOOK但是考試內容沒有範圍,請問大家怎麼讀?怎麼準備?你要帶多少本書來翻?

9/2的8月股災與未來事件簿這場講座老師為何說它適合基金與台股投資人都來上,原因是因為投資人如果不懂8月股災是怎麼來的?你就沒有能力避開這波大跌的金融風暴,更重要的事你絕對不知道未來該看空?看多?再多看看?沒有方向性的投資會賺錢老師還真的覺得你的運氣一定很好,投資人一定很納悶為何市場沒有人能替這波金融風暴下個名稱?其實老師這次會給8月這場金融風暴下個名稱,也許未來一段時間之後等多數人都弄懂時,還真的會給8月股災這樣的名稱也說不定,親愛的學員們應該都知道老師不會胡亂跟你說,我們既然能給它個名稱、我們既然能開出這堂講座,代表我們真正搞懂這場風暴的前因與後果,千分之999的人都搞不懂的原因在於因為人脈不夠好、不夠廣,我們之所以能搞的很清楚是因為我們從中國實體企業的人脈、中國的法人圈、美國的法人圈、美歐的實體企業人脈、台灣的法人圈整合出來的結果,這絕對不是什麼技術分析畫畫圖就能跟你斷定全球走入熊市這麼簡單,投資人不妨想想是你,你會覺得那種方式得到的結果是正確的?再參考我們每次對市場的轉折判斷,答案再清楚不過囉!See are!
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電子書、講座、研究報告=賺錢之道
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