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台股分析2015.9.7~8月出口大衰退!

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發表於 2015-9-7 18:35:32 | 顯示全部樓層 |閱讀模式
台股今日小跌14.04點,成交量居然只有678.97E,今天大盤雖然只有小跌14點,但今天的大盤卻透露出三點重要的訊息可以說是暗潮洶湧,等等筆者在後面再來跟大家詳細說明,我們先來跟大家談談上週筆者跟大家玩的小遊戲,留言送近期有機會表現的族群,從筆者跟大家玩這遊戲開始至今,大家可以看看這個族群的股王還原權值之後今天再創下歷史新高,今天又是大漲,連帶的今天的整個族群也表現的相對大盤來的強勢許多。


為何筆者要說今天大盤暗潮洶湧呢?原因一,以今天的成交量來看成交量縮成這樣代表大盤最多僅能盤整或是下跌,但是今天股市卻只有小跌,代表未來幾天台股的大盤出現了危險,原因二,今天的大盤從觀盤來看可以看的出多是依靠政府在撐盤,多數人都是居於觀望比較多,但一個股市怎能僅靠政府在撐盤而散戶都不玩,原因三,就是8月出口大幅的不如法人的預期,從上述三個原因來看,今天的大盤理應回檔幅度應該更大,但為何只有小跌14點,當然筆者剛剛已經跟大家說明原因,那就是整場都是政府在撐。


今日筆者PO了一則8月出口大衰退的新聞,這"消息"正確出來的時後是在今日的盤中,但透過新聞出來已經是在盤後了,所以部份主力、法人在盤中有很明顯的調節持股的跡象,因為基於這則新聞有風險導致股市未來1~2天出現一些修正,投資朋友們看到這裡可能覺得筆者把盤講的好像很不好似的,但筆者希望投資朋友們在做投資時往往要多方面去想,我們在8/21線上講座的完整版中有跟學員們提到這個盤過2天就會漲,果真大盤也反彈了900點,這個盤目前在今天成交量縮成這麼小的情形之下,說難聽的就是沒人要玩了,說好聽的就是當沒人要玩的時候逆向思考都是買進的好機會,所以簡單來說,大盤未來兩天若是有急跌又是一次危機入市的好機會了。
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